PastullioBot scans live Kalshi markets and surfaces mispriced contracts using Claude-powered analysis, expected value calculations, and Kelly-optimal sizing. No trade execution. No connected accounts. Just the signal.
Every scan returns transparent reasoning, not just a verdict. See the implied probability, the estimated true probability, the EV math, and the bull / bear case behind every signal.
Each market gets a structured analysis: market price vs. estimated true probability, expected value per dollar risked, and a Kelly-optimal position size for your bankroll.
Politics, Elections, Economics, Crypto, World, Health, Science, Companies, Financials, and more. Scan one category or all — your call, your credits.
Every signal includes the case for and against. Strategy frameworks called out by name (Kelly Criterion, favorite-longshot bias correction, Bayesian base rates). No black box.
Set minimum EV threshold, confidence level, bankroll size, and category focus. PastullioBot returns only signals that clear your bar.
PastullioBot is read-only. It analyzes public Kalshi market data. It doesn't connect to your Kalshi account, doesn't see your balance, and can't place trades on your behalf.
No Google Analytics. No Mixpanel. No tracking pixels. Just the scanner, your scans, and your credits.
Set your bankroll, minimum EV threshold, confidence floor, and category focus. Defaults work fine for first scans.
PastullioBot pulls live Kalshi markets in your selected category, then runs each through Claude for edge analysis.
Get a ranked list of edges with full reasoning. Click any market to see the EV breakdown, Kelly sizing, and bull / bear case.
Sports scan, May 2026. 25 markets analyzed, 6 edges found, 1 credit consumed. Below: Chelsea FA Cup signal — implied probability 30%, estimated true probability 38%, EV +26.7¢ per dollar risked.
Credits unlock scans. One scan = one credit. Credits expire 6 months from purchase. 7-day no-questions refund window on credit purchases with fewer than 5 credits used.
All prices USD · 6-month credit expiration · 7-day refund window
Kalshi is a regulated US-based prediction market exchange where you can buy and sell event contracts (e.g., "Will Chelsea win the FA Cup?") priced as probabilities. PastullioBot analyzes Kalshi market data; you trade through your own Kalshi account.
No. PastullioBot is analysis-only. It reads public Kalshi market data, runs AI-powered edge detection, and shows you the results. You decide what to do with the information. PastullioBot never has access to your Kalshi account, balance, or funds.
PastullioBot uses Claude AI to estimate true probabilities versus market-implied prices. AI estimates can be wrong. Even mathematically positive expected value bets lose, often. Past signal performance does not predict future results. Treat output as one input to your decision, not the decision itself.
Yes — to actually place bets based on the signals, you'll need your own Kalshi account at kalshi.com. PastullioBot is a separate analysis tool and is not affiliated with Kalshi.
Credits expire 6 months from purchase. Within the first 7 days, you can request a full refund if you've used fewer than 5 credits. See the full refund policy.
Credit packs are one-time purchases — there's nothing to cancel. The Signals subscription tier (coming soon) will be cancellable anytime from your account page; cancellation takes effect at the end of the current billing period.
Yes. PastullioBot uses no tracking analytics, no advertising pixels, and no third-party tracking. Personal data is limited to what's needed to operate your account. See the full privacy policy for details on retention, sub-processors, and your rights.
Credit and debit cards, processed by Stripe. PastullioBot never sees your card details — Stripe handles all payment processing. You can view receipts and manage subscriptions from your account page after signing up.
Sign up free. Run a scan. Decide if the signal is worth it.
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